Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Wandell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Wandell 44.0% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wandell 54.5%
Defensive zone
Wandell 51.5%
Neutral zone
Wandell 51.8%
Result
Tom Wandell favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Koivu
Wandell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Koivu
Wandell
Last 5: Koivu 2-3 Wandell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wandell
0
1
Koivu
Wandell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Wandell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wandell
0
1
Koivu
Wandell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Wandell
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
42.9% (791)
+11.1%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
51.3% (39)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
42.1% (38)
+6.8%
On even strength, Koivu has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wandell shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Wandell is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Koivu
Wandell
Home
55.8% (6,577)
41.2% (413)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
45.3% (457)
By Period
Koivu
Wandell
P1
53.5%
45.1%
P2
54.6%
41.2%
P3
54.0%
44.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Wandell
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Tom Wandell |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Tom Wandell |