Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.1% vs 56.4%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 61.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 55.8% vs Bozak 55.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 50.1%
Defensive zone
Bozak 50.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 51.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Koivu
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Koivu
Bozak
Last 10: Koivu 7-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
2
Koivu
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,247)
56.4% (837)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.6% (344)
60.8% (186)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (167)
33.3% (36)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Koivu is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Koivu shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Koivu
Bozak
Home
58.1% (850)
58.7% (516)
Away
54.3% (908)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Koivu
Bozak
P1
55.3%
55.7%
P2
57.2%
53.4%
P3
55.1%
59.7%
OT
77.3%
63.2%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 14:10 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |