Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.5%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 37 meetings). Koivu wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 49-36 in 85 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 52.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 52.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 55.4%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Koivu
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
36
(85 meetings)
49
36
Koivu
Bozak
Last 10: Koivu 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
24
13
Koivu
Bozak
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
13
10
Koivu
Bozak
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
12
13
Koivu
Bozak
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
53.7% (9,596)
+0.3%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
55.2% (1,990)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
48.0% (1,094)
+0.9%
On power play, Koivu has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Koivu shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Koivu
Bozak
Home
55.8% (6,577)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Koivu
Bozak
P1
53.5%
53.2%
P2
54.6%
52.8%
P3
54.0%
54.5%
OT
56.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |