Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Seguin 53.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 58.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 56.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Koivu
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Koivu
Seguin
Last 8: Koivu 5-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Koivu
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
1
Koivu
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,268)
53.9% (482)
+1.4%
Power Play
57.6% (321)
35.3% (17)
+22.3%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (202)
75.0% (12)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Koivu is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Koivu shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Koivu
Seguin
Home
58.3% (906)
58.9% (231)
Away
52.1% (885)
49.6% (280)
By Period
Koivu
Seguin
P1
53.0%
51.5%
P2
55.6%
48.5%
P3
56.6%
61.7%
OT
64.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |