Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.6%). Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 45 meetings). Koivu wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Seguin 53.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 73-69 in 142 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 51.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Koivu
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
69
-
73
(142 meetings)
69
73
Koivu
Seguin
Last 10: Koivu 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
17
28
Koivu
Seguin
45 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
23
13
Koivu
Seguin
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
29
32
Koivu
Seguin
61 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
53.7% (8,071)
+0.3%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
55.9% (810)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
49.3% (762)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Koivu shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Koivu
Seguin
Home
55.8% (6,577)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Koivu
Seguin
P1
53.5%
52.8%
P2
54.6%
53.3%
P3
54.0%
54.7%
OT
56.5%
54.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |