Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Rantanen 49.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 93.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 71.2%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 71.5%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Jenner
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Jenner
Rantanen
Last 8: Jenner 2-6 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
6
Jenner
Rantanen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
50.9% (334)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
43.7% (119)
+16.3%
On power play, Jenner has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Rantanen is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Jenner
Rantanen
Home
56.7% (693)
49.4% (241)
Away
52.7% (693)
48.6% (212)
By Period
Jenner
Rantanen
P1
57.1%
47.1%
P2
54.1%
46.7%
P3
53.0%
51.9%
OT
61.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |