Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.3%). Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Rantanen wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Frost 50.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 87.3%
Defensive zone
Frost 83.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.1%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Rantanen
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Rantanen
Frost
Last 9: Rantanen 6-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
6
0
Rantanen
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Rantanen
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Rantanen
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,522)
49.4% (3,598)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.8% (484)
55.5% (625)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
52.8% (36)
-38.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rantanen is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Rantanen shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Frost
Home
53.0% (1,067)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
48.3% (946)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Rantanen
Frost
P1
49.0%
50.8%
P2
51.3%
51.1%
P3
51.8%
48.5%
OT
57.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |