Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rantanen wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 53.2% vs Frost 49.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 86.8%
Defensive zone
Frost 77.3%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 60.6%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Rantanen
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Rantanen
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
3
0
Rantanen
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (346)
48.6% (704)
+3.1%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
55.7% (115)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rantanen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Rantanen shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Frost
Home
55.8% (258)
49.9% (399)
Away
51.8% (253)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Rantanen
Frost
P1
50.0%
51.2%
P2
56.6%
53.9%
P3
54.3%
42.7%
OT
71.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |