Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.2% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 93.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 91.2%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 52.4%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Rantanen
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Rantanen
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
2
0
Rantanen
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Rantanen
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (334)
49.4% (867)
+1.5%
Power Play
43.7% (119)
56.0% (25)
-12.3%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Rantanen is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Rantanen shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Bjugstad
Home
49.4% (241)
46.5% (480)
Away
48.6% (212)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Rantanen
Bjugstad
P1
47.1%
48.7%
P2
46.7%
45.6%
P3
51.9%
49.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |