Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Rantanen wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs McLeod 49.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Rantanen leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 93.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 90.0%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 57.1%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Rantanen
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Rantanen
McLeod
Last 10: Rantanen 7-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
8
0
Rantanen
McLeod
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Rantanen
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rantanen
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,522)
50.4% (3,345)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.8% (484)
51.0% (292)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
44.3% (635)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Rantanen is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Rantanen shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Rantanen
McLeod
Home
53.0% (1,067)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
48.3% (946)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Rantanen
McLeod
P1
49.0%
50.8%
P2
51.3%
48.4%
P3
51.8%
50.0%
OT
57.8%
37.1%
Final 5 min
47.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |