Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.2%). Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.2% vs McLeod 48.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 89.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 87.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.7%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Rantanen
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Rantanen
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
3
0
Rantanen
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Rantanen
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (334)
49.0% (500)
+1.9%
Power Play
43.7% (119)
43.8% (48)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Rantanen is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Rantanen shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Rantanen
McLeod
Home
49.4% (241)
50.9% (291)
Away
48.6% (212)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Rantanen
McLeod
P1
47.1%
44.3%
P2
46.7%
52.4%
P3
51.9%
47.8%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |