Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.6%). Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.2% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 90.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 94.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.4%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Rantanen
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rantanen
Kuraly
Last 5: Rantanen 3-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
3
0
Rantanen
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Rantanen
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (334)
49.2% (901)
+1.7%
Power Play
43.7% (119)
68.2% (22)
-24.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rantanen is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Rantanen shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Kuraly
Home
49.4% (241)
51.7% (603)
Away
48.6% (212)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Rantanen
Kuraly
P1
47.1%
50.9%
P2
46.7%
49.5%
P3
51.9%
49.1%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |