Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.6%). Rantanen wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 52.1% vs Monahan 52.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 82.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 80.9%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 55.6%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Rantanen
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Rantanen
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Rantanen
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Rantanen
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (188)
52.4% (853)
+2.9%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
58.6% (174)
-12.3%
On power play, Monahan has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Rantanen is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Rantanen shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Monahan
Home
57.3% (143)
53.4% (624)
Away
47.3% (112)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Rantanen
Monahan
P1
47.8%
53.7%
P2
56.8%
52.4%
P3
54.5%
51.6%
OT
37.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
60.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |