Scouting Report
Milan Lucic holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lucic 51.5% vs Gagner 47.5% (+9.2%)
Offensive zone
Lucic 73.0%
Defensive zone
Gagner 77.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 59.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Lucic
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lucic
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (28)
51.3% (158)
+5.8%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
66.7% (36)
-16.7%
On power play, Gagner has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Lucic is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Lucic shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Lucic
Gagner
Home
57.1% (14)
53.2% (154)
Away
55.0% (20)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Lucic
Gagner
P1
61.1%
35.6%
P2
44.4%
52.7%
P3
57.1%
51.9%
Final 5 min
62.5%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
55.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%