Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Marner wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 42.5% vs Blueger 48.1% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marner 93.4%
Defensive zone
Marner 68.1%
Neutral zone
Marner 77.2%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Marner
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Marner
Blueger
Last 5: Marner 0-5 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Marner
Blueger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Marner
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Marner
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (316)
49.4% (265)
-8.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
66.7% (9)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
34.0% (50)
-9.0%
On power play, Blueger has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Marner is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Marner shoots right. Blueger is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Marner
Blueger
Home
36.0% (186)
49.8% (215)
Away
45.6% (147)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Marner
Blueger
P1
40.7%
46.4%
P2
41.0%
50.4%
P3
38.6%
44.8%
Final 5 min
41.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |