Scouting Report
Tom Wandell holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Marner wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Wandell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 43.1% vs Wandell 44.0% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Marner 54.4%
Defensive zone
Wandell 52.1%
Neutral zone
Marner 50.0%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Marner
Wandell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Wandell
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (462)
42.9% (791)
-0.7%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
51.3% (39)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (65)
42.1% (38)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Wandell has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wandell shoots left. Marner is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Marner shoots right. Wandell is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Marner
Wandell
Home
38.2% (293)
41.2% (413)
Away
46.0% (252)
45.3% (457)
By Period
Marner
Wandell
P1
39.1%
45.1%
P2
41.1%
41.2%
P3
47.1%
44.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%
Wandell
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.3%