Mitchell Stephens vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.4% vs Frost 50.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 78.8%
Defensive zone
Stephens 84.5%
Neutral zone
Stephens 52.2%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Stephens
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Stephens
Frost
Last 9: Stephens 5-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Stephens
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
3
2
Stephens
Frost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
2
0
Stephens
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (795)
49.4% (3,598)
+5.1%
Power Play
21.4% (14)
55.5% (625)
-34.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
52.8% (36)
-5.6%
On power play, Frost has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Stephens is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (709).
Stephens shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
Stephens
Frost
Home
54.1% (471)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
51.3% (517)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Stephens
Frost
P1
53.6%
50.8%
P2
50.7%
51.1%
P3
54.3%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |