Mitchell Stephens vs Morgan Frost
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stephens wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.4% vs Frost 51.1% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 79.9%
Defensive zone
Stephens 71.5%
Neutral zone
Stephens 50.3%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Stephens
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stephens
Frost
Last 7: Stephens 4-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Stephens
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
3
2
Stephens
Frost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
0
Stephens
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (135)
50.3% (825)
+6.7%
Power Play
0.0% (5)
54.9% (204)
-54.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
On power play, Frost has a +54.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Stephens is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Stephens shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Stephens
Frost
Home
53.9% (89)
50.7% (489)
Away
53.3% (105)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Stephens
Frost
P1
47.4%
53.6%
P2
57.7%
47.8%
P3
57.4%
52.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |