Mitchell Stephens vs Morgan Geekie
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephens wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.4% vs Geekie 48.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 58.3%
Defensive zone
Stephens 82.0%
Neutral zone
Stephens 64.7%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Stephens
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stephens
Geekie
Last 5: Stephens 4-1 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Stephens
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
0
Stephens
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
3
0
Stephens
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (795)
48.8% (2,307)
+5.7%
Power Play
21.4% (14)
45.7% (188)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
45.7% (129)
+1.5%
On power play, Geekie has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Stephens is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Stephens shoots right. Geekie is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
Stephens
Geekie
Home
54.1% (471)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
51.3% (517)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
Stephens
Geekie
P1
53.6%
48.6%
P2
50.7%
48.8%
P3
54.3%
47.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.6%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |