Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephens wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.0% vs Suzuki 46.8% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Stephens leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 70.8%
Defensive zone
Stephens 81.3%
Neutral zone
Stephens 51.0%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Stephens
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Stephens
Suzuki
Last 10: Stephens 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
4
Stephens
Suzuki
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
3
1
Stephens
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (296)
46.6% (582)
+7.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
45.0% (60)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
41.2% (17)
+5.0%
On power play, Suzuki has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Stephens is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Stephens shoots right. Suzuki is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Stephens
Suzuki
Home
54.8% (177)
46.0% (350)
Away
50.3% (179)
46.6% (309)
By Period
Stephens
Suzuki
P1
55.4%
47.6%
P2
50.4%
45.7%
P3
52.6%
46.6%
OT
0.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |