Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.6%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stephens wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 49.3% vs Suzuki 49.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 72.8%
Defensive zone
Stephens 69.7%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 54.6%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Stephens
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Stephens
Suzuki
Last 10: Stephens 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
3
Stephens
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
0
Stephens
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stephens
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (199)
50.3% (1,075)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
43.1% (116)
-0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Stephens is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Stephens shoots right. Suzuki is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Stephens
Suzuki
Home
53.3% (122)
53.6% (711)
Away
45.0% (131)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Stephens
Suzuki
P1
52.6%
48.5%
P2
48.0%
51.7%
P3
46.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |