Mitchell Stephens vs Sam Lafferty
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Stephens wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.0% vs Lafferty 49.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephens 57.3%
Defensive zone
Stephens 60.8%
Neutral zone
Stephens 54.1%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Stephens
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stephens
Lafferty
Last 5: Stephens 4-1 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
0
Stephens
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephens
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
2
0
Stephens
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (296)
51.5% (204)
+2.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
41.7% (12)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
35.0% (20)
+11.2%
On power play, Lafferty has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Stephens is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Stephens shoots right. Lafferty is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Stephens
Lafferty
Home
54.8% (177)
49.2% (124)
Away
50.3% (179)
50.0% (112)
By Period
Stephens
Lafferty
P1
55.4%
48.9%
P2
50.4%
48.1%
P3
52.6%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |