Mitchell Stephens vs Sam Lafferty
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.4% vs Lafferty 50.4% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephens 50.7%
Defensive zone
Stephens 53.2%
Neutral zone
Stephens 50.4%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Stephens
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stephens
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
0
Stephens
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Stephens
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (135)
50.7% (144)
+6.3%
Power Play
0.0% (5)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
50.0% (10)
+0.0%
On power play, Lafferty has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Stephens is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Stephens shoots right. Lafferty is 65.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Stephens
Lafferty
Home
53.9% (89)
53.2% (62)
Away
53.3% (105)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Stephens
Lafferty
P1
47.4%
53.3%
P2
57.7%
46.7%
P3
57.4%
52.8%
Final 5 min
48.9%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |