Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.5%). Look for Nazar on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nazar wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.6% vs Barron 47.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Nazar leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 71.4%
Defensive zone
Barron 88.2%
Neutral zone
Barron 54.0%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Nazar
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Nazar
Barron
Last 10: Nazar 7-3 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
5
1
Nazar
Barron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
Nazar
Barron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
2
1
Nazar
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (533)
48.8% (371)
-1.9%
Power Play
49.2% (132)
33.3% (3)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
25.6% (39)
42.0% (174)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Nazar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Nazar shoots right. Barron is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Nazar
Barron
Home
45.0% (329)
44.9% (283)
Away
47.2% (375)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Nazar
Barron
P1
47.2%
44.8%
P2
43.1%
50.7%
P3
46.8%
43.6%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |