Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Finley wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 48.8% vs Barron 47.1% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 61.3%
Defensive zone
Barron 72.4%
Neutral zone
Barron 52.5%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Finley
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Finley
Barron
Last 8: Finley 4-4 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
2
Finley
Barron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
4
2
Finley
Barron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (239)
48.8% (371)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
42.0% (174)
+15.7%
On power play, Finley has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Finley shoots right. Barron is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Finley
Barron
Home
50.0% (162)
44.9% (283)
Away
46.2% (117)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Finley
Barron
P1
53.2%
44.8%
P2
44.6%
50.7%
P3
49.0%
43.6%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.4%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:25 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Jack Finley |