Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 48.2% vs Hischier 52.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barron 54.9%
Defensive zone
Barron 86.8%
Neutral zone
Barron 70.3%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Barron
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Barron
Hischier
Last 6: Barron 1-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Barron
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barron
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (731)
51.5% (8,379)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
59.7% (1,736)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (209)
49.4% (903)
-6.8%
On power play, Hischier has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Barron is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Barron shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,048).
Home / Away
Barron
Hischier
Home
45.5% (457)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
50.3% (489)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Barron
Hischier
P1
47.6%
52.9%
P2
51.3%
52.4%
P3
45.0%
52.6%
OT
25.0%
50.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
48.0%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |