Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 48.2% vs Ostlund 36.5% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostlund 76.4%
Defensive zone
Barron 86.3%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 52.0%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Barron
Ostlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barron
Ostlund
Last 5: Barron 2-3 Ostlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostlund
0
2
Barron
Ostlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
2
0
Barron
Ostlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostlund
0
1
Barron
Ostlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Ostlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (731)
32.5% (283)
+17.0%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
11.1% (9)
+38.9%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (209)
33.3% (3)
+9.3%
On power play, Barron has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostlund shoots left. Barron is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Barron shoots left. Ostlund is 30.1% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Barron
Ostlund
Home
45.5% (457)
37.0% (154)
Away
50.3% (489)
26.2% (141)
By Period
Barron
Ostlund
P1
47.6%
34.6%
P2
51.3%
32.0%
P3
45.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
23.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
48.0%
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Noah Ostlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Noah Ostlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Noah Ostlund |