Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barron wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 51.3% vs Sundqvist 46.1% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 52.1%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 52.7%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 54.0%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Barron
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Barron
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barron
1
0
Barron
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
2
Barron
Sundqvist
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (152)
45.0% (500)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
46.0% (50)
-0.5%
On even strength, Barron has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Barron is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Barron shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Home / Away
Barron
Sundqvist
Home
46.1% (76)
45.5% (255)
Away
57.5% (87)
45.4% (317)
By Period
Barron
Sundqvist
P1
63.0%
40.9%
P2
51.0%
46.9%
P3
45.6%
48.4%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
38.0%▼
43.5%
52.1%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |