Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barron wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 47.1% vs Greene 45.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greene 58.8%
Defensive zone
Barron 73.8%
Neutral zone
Barron 51.0%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Barron
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Barron
Greene
Last 7: Barron 4-3 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barron
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
2
0
Barron
Greene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
1
2
Barron
Greene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (371)
44.1% (506)
+4.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
47.5% (59)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (174)
43.6% (149)
-1.6%
On power play, Greene has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Barron is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Barron shoots left. Greene is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Barron
Greene
Home
44.9% (283)
47.4% (382)
Away
48.3% (265)
40.7% (332)
By Period
Barron
Greene
P1
44.8%
47.2%
P2
50.7%
39.0%
P3
43.6%
47.0%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |