Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barron wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 48.2% vs Greene 44.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barron 54.5%
Defensive zone
Barron 69.9%
Neutral zone
Barron 55.8%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Barron
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Barron
Greene
Last 7: Barron 4-3 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barron
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
2
0
Barron
Greene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
1
2
Barron
Greene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (731)
43.7% (524)
+5.8%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
47.5% (59)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (209)
43.6% (149)
-1.0%
On even strength, Barron has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Barron is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Barron shoots left. Greene is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Barron
Greene
Home
45.5% (457)
47.4% (382)
Away
50.3% (489)
40.3% (350)
By Period
Barron
Greene
P1
47.6%
46.4%
P2
51.3%
38.9%
P3
45.0%
47.0%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
48.0%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |