Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barron wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Helenius shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 51.3% vs Helenius 47.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helenius 59.3%
Defensive zone
Barron 51.5%
Neutral zone
Helenius 55.3%
Result
Samuel Helenius favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Barron
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barron
Helenius
Last 5: Barron 2-3 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barron
2
1
Barron
Helenius
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Barron
Helenius
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Barron
Helenius
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (152)
46.7% (276)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
0.0% (1)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Barron is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (104).
Barron shoots left. Helenius is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Barron
Helenius
Home
46.1% (76)
43.5% (168)
Away
57.5% (87)
50.9% (110)
By Period
Barron
Helenius
P1
63.0%
50.0%
P2
51.0%
41.5%
P3
45.6%
47.5%
Final 5 min
57.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
52.1%
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |