Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Frost 49.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 53.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 73.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 64.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Horvat
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Frost
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Horvat
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
48.6% (704)
+4.9%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
55.7% (115)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
25.0% (4)
+26.3%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Horvat
Frost
Home
54.2% (714)
49.9% (399)
Away
53.6% (705)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Horvat
Frost
P1
53.5%
51.2%
P2
56.3%
53.9%
P3
53.5%
42.7%
OT
28.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | OT | 00:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |