Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 45.8%). Look for Eichel on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs Frost 46.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 66.6%
Defensive zone
Eichel 58.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 59.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Eichel
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eichel
Frost
Last 5: Eichel 4-1 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
45.6% (833)
-0.1%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
46.0% (100)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
55.6% (18)
-26.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Eichel shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Eichel
Frost
Home
46.1% (388)
47.0% (440)
Away
44.4% (405)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Eichel
Frost
P1
46.8%
42.5%
P2
43.4%
47.9%
P3
45.4%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |