Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs Frost 49.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 84.2%
Defensive zone
Frost 62.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 61.0%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Rossi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Rossi
Frost
Last 5: Rossi 5-0 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
48.6% (704)
-4.1%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
55.7% (115)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
25.0% (4)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Rossi shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Rossi
Frost
Home
46.8% (385)
49.9% (399)
Away
42.6% (364)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Rossi
Frost
P1
42.8%
51.2%
P2
43.9%
53.9%
P3
47.4%
42.7%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
37.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |