Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Misa wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Misa 47.9% vs Frost 54.9% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Misa 70.7%
Defensive zone
Misa 89.2%
Neutral zone
Misa 75.8%
Result
Michael Misa favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Misa
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Misa
Frost
Last 6: Misa 1-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Misa
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Misa
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Misa
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (110)
54.1% (521)
-7.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
59.6% (141)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
100.0% (5)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Misa is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Misa shoots left. Frost is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Misa
Frost
Home
61.5% (39)
57.2% (339)
Away
37.8% (74)
54.0% (328)
By Period
Misa
Frost
P1
43.2%
58.2%
P2
43.8%
55.6%
P3
53.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Misa
46.0%▬
46.0%
46.0%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Michael Misa |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |