Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.2% vs Frost 46.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 88.1%
Defensive zone
Frost 78.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.6%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Rantanen
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rantanen
Frost
Last 5: Rantanen 3-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
3
0
Rantanen
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Rantanen
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (334)
45.6% (833)
+5.3%
Power Play
43.7% (119)
46.0% (100)
-2.3%
On even strength, Rantanen has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rantanen is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Rantanen shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Frost
Home
49.4% (241)
47.0% (440)
Away
48.6% (212)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Rantanen
Frost
P1
47.1%
42.5%
P2
46.7%
47.9%
P3
51.9%
46.6%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |