Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Aman 41.1% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aman 58.5%
Defensive zone
Aman 87.5%
Neutral zone
Aman 76.2%
Result
Nils Aman favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
Frost
Aman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Frost
Aman
Last 7: Frost 2-5 Aman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Aman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aman
0
4
Frost
Aman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Aman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Aman
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
40.2% (664)
+9.2%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
33.3% (9)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
34.3% (35)
+18.5%
On power play, Frost has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aman shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Frost shoots left. Aman is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Frost
Aman
Home
51.0% (2,047)
39.6% (341)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
40.1% (367)
By Period
Frost
Aman
P1
50.8%
41.9%
P2
51.1%
42.1%
P3
48.5%
35.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Nils Aman |