Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Frost wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 46.2% vs Aman 40.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aman 75.2%
Defensive zone
Aman 92.0%
Neutral zone
Aman 84.7%
Result
Nils Aman favored at 88.0%
12.0%
88.0%
Frost
Aman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Frost
Aman
Last 6: Frost 1-5 Aman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Aman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aman
0
4
Frost
Aman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aman
0
1
Frost
Aman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Aman
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (833)
39.0% (439)
+6.6%
Power Play
46.0% (100)
42.9% (7)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
25.0% (28)
+30.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aman shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Frost shoots left. Aman is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Frost
Aman
Home
47.0% (440)
39.8% (259)
Away
44.8% (511)
36.3% (215)
By Period
Frost
Aman
P1
42.5%
38.9%
P2
47.9%
41.7%
P3
46.6%
33.8%
Final 5 min
48.5%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
38.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Nils Aman |