Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 55.7% vs Danault 54.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 72.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 79.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 58.1%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Frost
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Frost
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Frost
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (701)
56.5% (711)
-1.6%
Power Play
60.8% (166)
46.0% (50)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
51.7% (116)
+48.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Frost shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Frost
Danault
Home
56.0% (443)
57.0% (379)
Away
56.6% (429)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Frost
Danault
P1
58.9%
55.8%
P2
55.3%
55.3%
P3
54.0%
54.8%
OT
70.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |