Morgan Frost vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Frost wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 55.7% vs Dubois 49.4% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 94.5%
Defensive zone
Frost 81.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 85.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Frost
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Frost
Dubois
Last 6: Frost 5-1 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
4
1
Frost
Dubois
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (701)
46.2% (225)
+8.7%
Power Play
60.8% (166)
66.7% (27)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
75.0% (8)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Frost shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Frost
Dubois
Home
56.0% (443)
46.6% (163)
Away
56.6% (429)
53.6% (97)
By Period
Frost
Dubois
P1
58.9%
45.0%
P2
55.3%
52.3%
P3
54.0%
50.5%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:17 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |