Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Frost wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 55.7% vs Byfield 45.4% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Byfield leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 80.0%
Defensive zone
Byfield 75.4%
Neutral zone
Byfield 56.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Frost
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Frost
Byfield
Last 10: Frost 5-5 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
2
Frost
Byfield
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
3
Frost
Byfield
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (701)
46.5% (759)
+8.4%
Power Play
60.8% (166)
50.0% (58)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
35.1% (148)
+64.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +64.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Frost shoots left. Byfield is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Frost
Byfield
Home
56.0% (443)
46.2% (442)
Away
56.6% (429)
44.0% (523)
By Period
Frost
Byfield
P1
58.9%
44.1%
P2
55.3%
43.5%
P3
54.0%
47.7%
OT
70.0%
39.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2025 | OT | 00:33 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |