Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Umberger 50.1% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Umberger 51.0%
Defensive zone
Frost 53.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 55.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Frost
Umberger
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
50.9% (387)
-1.5%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
49.8% (251)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
46.6% (58)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Frost shoots left. Umberger is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Frost
Umberger
Home
51.0% (2,047)
52.3% (365)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
47.6% (336)
By Period
Frost
Umberger
P1
50.8%
50.0%
P2
51.1%
49.3%
P3
48.5%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%