Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 55.7% vs Faksa 53.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 90.6%
Defensive zone
Faksa 75.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 53.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Frost
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Frost
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (701)
56.4% (289)
-1.5%
Power Play
60.8% (166)
0.0% (2)
+60.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
49.2% (126)
+50.8%
On power play, Frost has a +60.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Frost shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Frost
Faksa
Home
56.0% (443)
54.9% (182)
Away
56.6% (429)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Frost
Faksa
P1
58.9%
61.1%
P2
55.3%
51.3%
P3
54.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |