Scouting Report
Tim Washe holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Frost wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 55.7% vs Washe 55.6% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 90.5%
Defensive zone
Washe 67.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 61.0%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Frost
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Frost
Washe
Last 5: Frost 5-0 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
5
0
Frost
Washe
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (686)
60.9% (207)
-5.9%
Power Play
60.8% (166)
100.0% (3)
-39.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
41.7% (48)
+58.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Frost is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Frost shoots left. Washe is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Frost
Washe
Home
56.1% (428)
63.3% (120)
Away
56.6% (429)
52.9% (138)
By Period
Frost
Washe
P1
58.9%
60.2%
P2
55.4%
61.0%
P3
54.1%
53.6%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
66.0%▲
60.0%
56.4%
Washe
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |