Scouting Report
Tim Washe holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Washe 55.2% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 72.7%
Defensive zone
Washe 88.5%
Neutral zone
Washe 68.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Frost
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Frost
Washe
Last 5: Frost 5-0 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
5
0
Frost
Washe
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
59.8% (224)
-10.4%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
100.0% (3)
-44.5%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
41.7% (48)
+11.1%
On power play, Washe has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Frost shoots left. Washe is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Frost
Washe
Home
51.0% (2,047)
62.0% (129)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
52.7% (146)
By Period
Frost
Washe
P1
50.8%
59.6%
P2
51.1%
59.3%
P3
48.5%
53.8%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Washe
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |