Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Frost wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 55.7% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 90.4%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 77.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 59.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Frost
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Frost
Dellandrea
Last 8: Frost 5-3 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
5
0
Frost
Dellandrea
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
3
Frost
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (701)
54.1% (355)
+0.8%
Power Play
60.8% (166)
53.8% (13)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
47.6% (143)
+52.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Frost is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Frost shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Frost
Dellandrea
Home
56.0% (443)
54.3% (278)
Away
56.6% (429)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Frost
Dellandrea
P1
58.9%
54.2%
P2
55.3%
50.6%
P3
54.0%
51.8%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |