Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Dellandrea 49.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 89.9%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 61.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 54.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Frost
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Frost
Dellandrea
Last 7: Frost 4-3 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
1
Frost
Dellandrea
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
1
2
Frost
Dellandrea
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
0
Frost
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
51.1% (356)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
100.0% (6)
-45.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
36.8% (57)
+13.2%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Frost shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Frost
Dellandrea
Home
50.7% (489)
46.7% (180)
Away
51.7% (544)
52.3% (239)
By Period
Frost
Dellandrea
P1
53.6%
47.8%
P2
47.8%
50.9%
P3
52.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
48.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |