Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Geekie 52.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 79.9%
Defensive zone
Geekie 78.4%
Neutral zone
Geekie 82.3%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 80.0%
20.0%
80.0%
Kopitar
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kopitar
Geekie
Last 7: Kopitar 1-6 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Kopitar
Geekie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
3
Kopitar
Geekie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
53.2% (615)
+4.4%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
44.4% (36)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
44.4% (18)
+2.5%
On power play, Kopitar has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Kopitar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Kopitar shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Geekie
Home
57.2% (778)
55.0% (331)
Away
56.5% (731)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Kopitar
Geekie
P1
56.3%
53.9%
P2
57.1%
56.0%
P3
57.0%
46.5%
OT
59.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
56.9%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |