Mitchell Stephens vs Morgan Geekie
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephens wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 53.2% vs Geekie 44.9% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephens 68.8%
Defensive zone
Stephens 81.6%
Neutral zone
Stephens 77.7%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Stephens
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stephens
Geekie
Last 5: Stephens 4-1 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Stephens
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
0
Stephens
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
3
0
Stephens
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (122)
43.7% (584)
+12.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
47.1% (68)
-47.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
50.0% (8)
+0.0%
On power play, Geekie has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Stephens is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Stephens shoots right. Geekie is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Stephens
Geekie
Home
52.9% (68)
45.3% (329)
Away
58.2% (67)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Stephens
Geekie
P1
56.7%
41.2%
P2
46.3%
45.0%
P3
64.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
54.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
55.6%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |