Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Geekie wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.4% vs Bonino 50.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 71.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 63.8%
Neutral zone
Geekie 50.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Geekie
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Geekie
Bonino
Last 10: Geekie 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
3
0
Geekie
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
4
Geekie
Bonino
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
4
Geekie
Bonino
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,289)
50.6% (8,315)
-1.9%
Power Play
45.9% (183)
54.1% (972)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
44.6% (1,693)
+1.1%
On power play, Bonino has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Geekie is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,909).
Geekie shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Geekie
Bonino
Home
50.0% (1,277)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
46.8% (1,324)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Geekie
Bonino
P1
48.4%
50.6%
P2
48.9%
48.5%
P3
47.5%
51.1%
OT
66.7%
45.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:28 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |